- Basilio Núñez会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？28¢28%
- Ricardo Estigarribia会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？28¢28%
- Miguel Prieto会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？24¢24%
- Juan Carlos Baruja会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？23¢23%
- Eduardo Nakayama会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？22¢22%
- Pedro Alliana会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？21¢21%
- Yolanda Paredes会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？21¢21%
- Arnoldo Wiens会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？19¢19%
- Celeste Amarilla会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？19¢19%
- Raúl Latorre会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？18¢18%
- Lilian Samaniego会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？18¢18%
- Alberto Martínez Simón会赢得2028年巴拉圭总统选举吗？10¢10%
The ongoing banking crisis tied to Ueno Bank has triggered calls for President Santiago Peña’s resignation or impeachment, elevating Senate and Congress President Basilio Núñez while pressuring Colorado Party figures such as Vice President Pedro Alliana and internal rivals Arnoldo Wiens and Lilian Samaniego. Opposition contenders including Ricardo Estigarribia, Eduardo Nakayama, and Celeste Amarilla benefit from recent municipal gains and voter dissatisfaction with governance, health services, and security. Fragmented party primaries, coalition negotiations, and the two-year timeline to the 2028 general election keep probabilities distributed across more than a dozen names, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support within the dominant ANR or unify the divided opposition.
规则
本市场将根据下一届巴拉圭总统选举中胜出的列名候选人进行结算。 本市场包含任何可能举行的第二轮投票。 如果截至 2029年4月30日 23:59 ET 结果仍未得到确定确认，本市场将结算为“其他”。 本市场将根据本次选举结果进行结算，结果以可信报道的共识为准。如有歧义，本市场将仅根据巴拉圭政府来源公布的官方结果进行结算，包括 Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/)。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。