Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 121-123 million view bracket for the latest MrBeast video at the 120-hour mark, with 66% implied probability, followed by the adjacent 123-125 million range at 40%. This positioning stems from the video’s documented early trajectory, where initial algorithmic push and subscriber-driven spikes have produced consistent daily increments that align with historical patterns for mid-tier MrBeast challenges. View accumulation typically front-loads 60% or more of total day-five views within the first 48 hours before tapering sharply, and current tracking data through day four supports a narrow outcome band around 122 million. Upcoming chart updates and any final-hour platform adjustments remain the key swing factors, though the tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores limited room for late surprises.
该市场将根据 MrBeast 最新发布的 YouTube 视频在发布后的前 120 小时内获得的观看次数进行结算。无论是否提前达到某个门槛,该市场都可能要等到 120 小时结束后才会结算。 如果公布的数值恰好处于两个区间之间,本市场将按较高的区间结算。 本市场的结算依据是 MrBeast 的 YouTube 频道(https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast),具体为所述视频的“观看次数”计数器。 如果在指定时长结束时无法获取结算来源,本市场将根据指定时长结束前可获取的最新观看次数进行结算。 注意:该市场仅涉及 MrBeast 的视频“Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000”(见:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw)。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。