- 纽约市长会在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布120-139条帖子吗？1¢
- 纽约市市长将在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布0-19条帖子吗？2¢
- 纽约市长将在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布140-159条动态吗？1¢
- 纽约市长会在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布80到99条帖子吗？1¢
- 纽约市市长将在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布100-119条帖子吗？1¢
- 纽约市市长将在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布40-59条帖子吗？11¢
- 纽约市长会在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布60-79条帖子吗？1¢
- 纽约市长在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间会发20-39条帖子吗？84¢
- 纽约市市长会在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布160-179条帖子吗？1¢
- 纽约市长会在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布180-199条帖子吗？1¢
- 纽约市市长会在2026年9月8日至9月15日期间发布200条以上的帖子吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of 20-39 posts per week in recent comparable periods, driven by routine municipal updates on public safety, transportation, education policy, and seasonal preparations. Traders assign the 83.5% probability to this range for September 8-15 because no major crises, budget deadlines, or high-profile events are scheduled that would trigger elevated volume, while the early-September window aligns with standard operational communications. The 10% odds on 40-59 and single-digit shares on outliers reflect limited expectation of spikes from 9/11-related activity or other catalysts, consistent with historical patterns on the account since the administration transition.