- Nothing 若有朝一日发生：Obama96¢96%
Barack Obama’s post-presidency schedule through mid-October 2026 has centered on standard former-president activities, including midterm campaign appearances for Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in states such as Ohio and Michigan, private fundraisers for party committees, and public speeches abroad. The Obama Presidential Center opened in Chicago in June without incident, and recent remarks have focused on democracy, technology policy, and civic engagement. No verified reports or official actions have surfaced regarding federal charges, arrests, or changes in marital status. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to resolution as “Nothing” by year-end, viewing the absence of triggering events as consistent with established patterns for the former president.
规则
如果在市场创建至 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 期间满足以下任一条件，该市场将结算为“Something”： - Obama 遭联邦起诉 - Obama 遭逮捕 - Obama 离婚 否则，此市场将判定为“Nothing”。 本市场的完整规则请见此处： https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。