- 民主党候选人会赢得北卡罗来纳州最高法院大选吗？97¢97%
- 共和党候选人会赢得北卡罗来纳州最高法院普选吗？<1¢<1%
Anita Earls holds a commanding trader consensus position as the North Carolina Supreme Court seat's likely winner due to her incumbency since 2018, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million compared to Stevens' under $258,000, and consistent polling leads of 7-8 points in recent surveys of likely voters. As the sole statewide judicial race on the November 3 ballot, the contest centers on preserving the court's 5-2 Republican majority or expanding it to 6-1, with implications for 2028 seat control. Stevens, a former state House member, has maintained limited public visibility and advertising. Market pricing diverges from narrower polling margins, reflecting trader emphasis on structural advantages for the incumbent. Late shifts among undecided voters or post-election legal disputes could still alter the outcome before final certification.
规则
本市场将根据2026年北卡罗来纳州最高法院选举的获胜者结算。 如果某候选人是相关政党提名的候选人，则视为其代表该政党。民主党或共和党提名人选以外的候选人（例如绿党、自由意志党或独立候选人）可能会在之后加入。 以独立候选人身份参选的候选人，无论其与该政党有任何关联，都不纳入“民主党”或“共和党”选项。 本市场的结算依据为美联社、Fox News和NBC。三家消息来源都宣布同一位候选人获胜后，本市场即进行结算。如果这三个消息来源都没有在该州宣布同一位候选人获胜，本市场将根据官方认证结果结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。