- 下一场英国议会补选会在12月31日之前宣布吗？26¢26%
No parliamentary by-election has a confirmed date as of late October 2026, following the 8 October contest in Holborn and St Pancras triggered by Keir Starmer’s September resignation. Westminster vacancies arise through resignations via offices of profit, deaths, disqualifications, or recalls, after which the Speaker moves the writ, usually within three months. Local council by-elections occur regularly in coming weeks across multiple authorities, yet these do not affect the timing of parliamentary contests. Market participants watch for MP announcements, leadership transitions under Prime Minister Andy Burnham, or health-related developments that could prompt further vacancies before the next general election.
规则
如果英国王室大法官书记官（Clerk of the Crown in Chancery）在指定日期 23:59 ET 前签发要求在英国议会选区举行议会补选的选举令，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 选举令的发布必须在指定时间范围内得到确认，才符合条件。 只有在市场创建后签发的选举令才会计入。Holborn and St Pancras 补选的选举令在市场创建前已签发，因此不符合条件。 本市场结算的主要依据将是英国政府的官方信息，包括英国议会以及负责举行选举的相关地方政府；不过，也将参考可信报道的一致结论。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。