- Chuck Schumer会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？82¢82%
- Brian Schatz会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？7¢7%
- Chris Van Hollen会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？4¢4%
- John Thune会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- John Barrasso会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- Steve Daines会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- Tom Cotton会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- Amy Klobuchar会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- Patty Murray会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- Cory Booker会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
- Mark Kelly会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？<1¢<1%
Democrats' recapture of Senate majority control in the 2026 midterms, with projected gains of seven or more seats including flips in states such as Texas, South Carolina, and Kansas, has positioned Chuck Schumer as the clear frontrunner to serve as majority leader. Schumer has publicly stated he expects re-election by the Democratic caucus in early December leadership votes, citing broad internal support despite limited dissent from some incoming senators-elect. No prominent challenger has consolidated opposition, and the caucus's simple-majority threshold favors the incumbent's experience managing floor proceedings and committee assignments. Lower-priced outcomes such as Chris Van Hollen reflect speculation over potential generational shifts but lack organized backing. Republican candidates remain sidelined given the chamber's partisan balance, with trader pricing aligned to confirmed election results and the scheduled internal vote timeline.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026年11月3日 美国大选之后被宣布为下一任参议院多数党领袖的人选进行结算。 本市场将保持开放至 2027年1月3日，届时将根据在美国参议院中占多数席位的政党首次宣布下一任参议院多数党领袖的人选进行结算。 如果未能确立多数席位，且截至 2027年6月30日、23:59 ET 仍未宣布领袖，本市场将以“其他”结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。