Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads the market at 68% as the incumbent New Democracy leader following his party's strong but inconclusive performance in the recent Greek parliamentary election, where it secured a large plurality yet fell short of an absolute majority under the proportional system. Traders price in his strong position ahead of the expected repeat vote, supported by polling showing New Democracy ahead and Mitsotakis as the preferred choice for prime minister amid ongoing negotiations and a caretaker administration. Lower-priced outcomes such as Maria Karystianou at 8.5%, Alexis Tsipras at 8.1%, and Nikos Androulakis at 7.9% reflect fragmented opposition support, with Karystianou's "Hope for Democracy" party drawing limited backing tied to the Tempi rail crash accountability movement. Other listed figures remain in single digits due to weaker polling and coalition challenges in Greece's multiparty system.
本市场将根据下一次议会选举后,下一位正式获任命并宣誓就任希腊总理的人选进行结算。如果提前举行选举,本市场将立即以该次选举后正式获任命并宣誓就任的人士作为结算结果。 要计入结算,该人选必须在指定日期前正式宣誓就职。任何临时或看守总理均不计入本市场的结算。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET,仍没有符合条件的总理就任,本市场将结算为“其他”。 本市场将根据可信新闻报道形成的共识进行判定。如有歧义,本市场将仅依据希腊政府的官方信息进行结算。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。