- Ilse Aigner会成为德国下一任总统吗？68¢68%
- Julia Klöckner会成为德国下一任总统吗？16¢16%
- Karin Prien会成为德国下一任总统吗？15¢15%
- Angela Merkel会成为德国下一任总统吗？5¢5%
- Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer会成为德国下一任总统吗？3¢3%
- Boris Rhein会成为德国下一任总统吗？3¢3%
- Udo Di Fabio会成为德国下一任总统吗？2¢2%
Ilse Aigner holds the highest implied probability in this market at 62.5 percent, driven by the CSU's sustained push for the Bavarian state parliament president as the conservative bloc's nominee ahead of the January 30, 2027 Federal Convention vote. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has publicly stated the next president should be a woman from the political center, aligning with SPD and Green preferences for gender balance and boosting cross-party viability for Aigner. Other named contenders such as Julia Klöckner, Karin Prien, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, and Boris Rhein trail at lower odds, reflecting ongoing CDU internal deliberations and the absence of a finalized joint proposal. Numerous unspecified outcomes trading near 50 percent underscore the fluid nomination process and potential for late shifts before the convention, which requires 631 votes in early rounds.
规则
目前计划由德国于 2027年1月30日 间接选出一位新总统。 若有人在 2027年6月30日、23:59 ET 前正式就任德国总统，本市场将按此人结算。 要计入结算，该人士必须正式宣誓就任德国总统。任何临时或代理总统都不计入本市场的结算。 如果截至 2027年6月30日、23:59 ET 仍无人以此身份就任总统，本市场将按“其他”结算。 本市场的主要结算依据为德国政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。