- 《侠盗猎车手VI》首发预告片在第一周的播放量会少于4000万吗？12¢
- 《侠盗猎车手VI》首发预告片在第一周会获得4000万到6000万的观看次数吗？34¢
- 《侠盗猎车手VI发布预告片》在第一周的观看次数会在6000万到8000万之间吗？34¢
- “侠盗猎车手VI发布预告片”在第一周会获得8000万到1亿次观看吗？20¢
- 《侠盗猎车手VI》首发预告片在第一周会获得1亿到1.2亿次观看吗？5¢
- 《侠盗猎车手VI》发布预告片在第一周会获得1.2亿至1.4亿次观看吗？1¢
- 《侠盗猎车手VI发布预告片》在第一周会获得至少1.4亿次观看吗？5¢
The closely matched market-implied odds between the 40-60M (34.5%) and 60-80M (34.6%) view brackets for the Grand Theft Auto VI launch trailer reflect intense trader debate over first-week performance on YouTube and across platforms. Rockstar's October 15 release of the 90-second in-game footage, timed 35 days before the November 19 launch, taps into unmatched franchise hype and prior trailer records, yet its shorter format and position after the extended look create uncertainty around sustained momentum versus initial viral spikes. Key differentiators include algorithmic promotion, the Justice soundtrack tie-in, and competition from social media clips, with historical data from Trailer 2's massive cross-platform results informing the balanced sentiment. View counts will likely clarify quickly as daily metrics emerge.
规则
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).