- Su Chiao-hui会赢得下一届新北市长选举吗？51¢
- Lee Shu-chuan会赢得下一届新北市长选举吗？49¢
- Huang Kuo-chang会赢得下一届新北市长选举吗？<1¢
Recent polling shows DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui gaining ground on KMT/TPP-backed Lee Shu-chuan in New Taipei, with one survey placing her 13 points ahead after she improved among undecided voters and in traditionally KMT districts. The race centers on the open seat of term-limited incumbent Hou You-yi, with Lee relying on blue-white alliance coordination and district-by-district campaigning while Su emphasizes infrastructure, housing renewal, and local service continuity. With the November 28 vote weeks away, minor independent Su Hui-huang registers negligible support, and Huang Kuo-chang remains sidelined after the earlier primary. Trader pricing near 50 percent for the top two reflects uncertainty over whether Su’s momentum or Lee’s organizational edge will prevail in this high-stakes local contest.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 本市场将根据此次选举产生的新北市下一任市长人选进行结算。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理市长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。