梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举:第二名
政治选举全球选举德国世界选举世界梅克伦堡-前波莫瑞德国选举国际选举特殊投注
开始时间
2026-08-07
结束时间
2026-09-20
24小时成交量
$140K
总成交量
$140K
  • SPD将在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举中获得第二多席位吗?100¢100%
  • 在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举中,德国选择党会赢得第二多的席位吗?0¢0%
  • 自民党将在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州议会选举中赢得第二多席位吗?0¢0%
  • 格林党将在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举中获得第二多席位吗?0¢0%
  • BSW会在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举中赢得第二多的席位吗?0¢0%
  • 基民盟会在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举中获得第二多的席位吗?0¢0%
  • Linke会在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州议会选举中赢得第二多席位吗?0¢0%
  • FW将在2026年梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举中赢得第二多议席吗?0¢0%
  • Will Party A win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
  • Will Party B win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
  • Will Party C win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
  • Will Party D win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%

SPD secured second place in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election behind the AfD, reflecting trader consensus on the preliminary results. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig's SPD narrowed the gap in final polls through targeted mobilization in its strongholds and direct mandates, finishing at 35.5 percent against the AfD's 38.2 percent. Fragmentation among smaller parties, including the CDU's historic failure to clear the five-percent threshold and the BSW's similar shortfall, reduced competition for the runner-up spot. High turnout above 78 percent reinforced established patterns. Late adjustments in postal or disputed ballots remain the only narrow scenarios that could alter rankings before final certification.

规则

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举:第二名

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