- Lisa Cook 会在 10月31日 前卸任美联储理事吗？<1¢<1%
- Lisa Cook 会在 11月30日 前卸任美联储理事吗？4¢4%
- Lisa Cook 会在 12月31日 前卸任美联储理事吗？9¢9%
President Trump's October 9, 2026, establishment of a White House committee to probe mortgage-fraud allegations against Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, with a November 5 hearing, represents the latest step in efforts to establish "for cause" removal under the Federal Reserve Act. Cook's attorneys have challenged the process's fairness and stated she cannot attend until after the December 8-9 FOMC meeting due to overseas duties, pushing any potential recommendation later. The Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling already invalidated an earlier dismissal attempt on due-process grounds, reinforcing institutional protections for the seven-member Board and Cook's term through 2038. Low market-implied odds for near-term removal reflect trader assessment of these procedural and legal barriers amid ongoing litigation and no criminal charges.
规则
如果 Lisa Cook 在指定日期 23:59 ET 前正式不再担任美国联邦储备委员会理事，该市场将结算为“是”。否则，将以 “否” 结算。 Lisa Cook 必须按照适用于该职位的法律、规则或程序，正式不再担任指定职位。宣布将在未来离职不符合条件。离职方式不影响结算；辞职、免职、解雇或其他方式均符合条件。 临时休假、有期限的停职、无限期停职、行政休假，或指定人员在指定职位上的职责发生其他临时变动，均不符合条件。 该市场的结算依据将是联邦储备委员会提供的信息；不过，可信报道形成的共识也足以作为依据。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。