- Lee Jae-myung 会在 2027 年之前遭到弹劾吗？6¢6%
President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, making it structurally difficult for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote required for impeachment. Recent polling shows his approval rating fluctuating in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s, with no sustained collapse that would shift cross-party support. Opposition criticism has centered on budget debates, suspended criminal cases, and judicial nominations, but these have produced routine parliamentary friction rather than viable impeachment momentum. A 2026 petition drive reached signature thresholds yet stalled without committee advancement. Traders appear to view the combination of institutional barriers, party arithmetic, and absence of acute catalysts as preserving the current trajectory through the end of 2026.
规则
如果韩国国会在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式弹劾韩国总统 Lee Jae-myung，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 此市场要判定为“是”，只需国会提出并通过一项针对 Lee Jae-myung 的弹劾案，无论宪法法院之后是否维持弹劾决定。 此市场的主要判定来源为韩国政府的官方信息，但也可采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。