- Lai Ching-te 会在 6月30日 前访问美国吗？12¢12%
- Lai Ching-te 会在 12月31日 前访问美国吗？2¢2%
Taiwan President Lai Ching-te began a transit stop in Hawaii on October 18, 2026, en route to Pacific allies Marshall Islands, Tuvalu, and Palau, with a planned Guam overnight—marking his first overseas trip since taking office. This follows earlier 2024 transits through the same U.S. territories and comes amid U.S. approvals for F-16 parts and radar systems sales valued at $385 million. Prior 2025 efforts for continental U.S. stops reportedly faced delays or blocks under the second Trump administration due to Beijing's objections. Ongoing U.S.-Taiwan economic and security talks, including tariff adjustments and AI/semiconductor supply-chain cooperation, alongside Lai's National Day remarks welcoming U.S.-China dialogue while stressing Taiwan's defense needs, shape expectations. Chinese diplomatic and military pressure remains a consistent constraint on higher-profile visits. Scheduled events like legislative meetings and future ally trips within the resolution window could influence outcomes.
规则
如果 Lai Ching-te 在市场创建至指定日期 23:59 ET 之间访问美国，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 就本市场而言，“访问”是指 Lai Ching-te 亲自进入美国的陆地或海上领土。在本市场的时间范围内，Lai Ching-te 是否进入美国领空，均不会影响市场判定为肯定结果。 此信息的主要判定来源将是美国或台湾的官方信息；不过，也会采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。