- Lai Ching-te会在12月31日前遭到弹劾吗？22¢22%
Taiwan’s opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan, led by the KMT and TPP, remains in a constitutional standoff with President Lai Ching-te’s DPP executive over the refusal to countersign passed legislation, including revenue allocation changes and budget measures. This impasse triggered impeachment proceedings last year that reached a floor vote in May 2026 but fell short of the required two-thirds majority. Opposition lawmakers continue to press for dialogue to resolve the deadlock, while Lai’s October 2026 National Day address emphasized cross-strait tensions and defense priorities without directly addressing the domestic rift. Any renewed motion would again need supermajority legislative support before referral to the Constitutional Court, amid scheduled budget deliberations that could intensify pressure on both sides.
规则
如果台湾总统 Lai Ching-te 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前遭立法院正式弹劾，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 本市场要判定为“是”，只需立法院提出并通过针对 Lai Ching-te 的弹劾案；无论宪法法庭之后是否维持弹劾结果，均不影响判定。 本市场判定的主要依据是台湾政府的官方信息，但也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。