- Misti Cordell会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？8¢8%
- Austin Magee会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？4¢4%
- Michael Mebruer会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？3¢3%
- Rick Edmonds会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？2¢2%
- Samuel Wyatt会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？2¢2%
- Michael Echols会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？2¢2%
- Blake Miguez会成为共和党的LA-05候选人吗？<1¢<1%
Louisiana's open 5th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid, features a crowded Republican field in the November 3 nonpartisan primary. Trader consensus reflects fragmentation, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities. Michael Echols, a state representative and House Republican caucus chair, leads in fundraising with roughly $3 million raised and national endorsements from figures like Tom Emmer and Jim Jordan. Misti Cordell, Board of Regents chair with business experience, holds the Louisiana GOP endorsement amid some internal party debate. Other contenders, including state legislators Gabe Firment and Stewart Cathey, bring legislative records on rural healthcare, agriculture, and energy. Key differentiators include fundraising scale, federal versus state-level backing, and voter priorities on affordability and district-specific issues that could consolidate support ahead of the vote.
规则
本市场将根据在2026年中期选举中赢得共和党提名、代表共和党竞选美国众议院 LA-05 国会选区席位的候选人来结算。共和党初选将于 2026年5月16日 举行。 如果截至 2026年11月3日 23:59 ET 尚未宣布提名人选，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场的结算依据将是共和党官方消息来源的共识，包括 https://www.rnc.org/。 在选举日前更换提名人选，不会改变本市场的结算结果。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。