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Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Chen Yu-jen holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate race as the official Kuomintang nominee and party chapter head. Recent unification behind her candidacy, including the withdrawal of former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, has consolidated KMT support in this offshore county where the party has long dominated local contests. Multiple independent candidates, including former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang and others such as Liang Wen-tao, are splitting opposition votes without a Democratic Progressive Party entrant. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as turnout shifts, campaign controversies, or unexpected cross-strait events before election day could still alter the outcome.