堪萨斯州参议院选举:塞奇威克县获胜者
政治选举美国大选参议院中期选举堪萨斯州中期选举
开始时间
2026-09-28
结束时间
2026-11-03
24小时成交量
$4K
总成交量
$4K
  • 共和党将在2026年堪萨斯州参议院竞选中赢得塞奇威克县吗?52¢
  • 民主党会在2026年堪萨斯州参议院选举中赢得塞奇威克县吗?43¢

Recent polling and forecasts show the Kansas U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Roger Marshall and Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton as a toss-up, with averages near even or slight Hamilton leads amid heavy outside spending from both parties. Sedgwick County, home to Wichita and a pivotal suburban area, remains competitive due to its mixed demographics and voter turnout patterns that mirror statewide shifts. Marshall holds a projected edge there in county-level simulations, consistent with trader pricing favoring him to carry the county on November 3. Upcoming events, including a planned Trump visit to Wichita, could influence late momentum, while voter enthusiasm gaps and independent support remain key variables that may determine the final margin.

规则

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Sedgwick County in the election for United States Senator from Kansas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Kansas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Sedgwick County.

堪萨斯州参议院选举:塞奇威克县获胜者

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