- 日本会在2026年解密新的UFO档案吗？5¢5%
Japan maintains a measured approach to unidentified anomalous phenomena, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stating in May 2026 that any release of government-held UAP materials would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. Tokyo has confirmed possession of relevant footage and continues analyzing U.S. disclosures, including incidents near Japanese airspace, yet has established no dedicated UAP office or systematic declassification process. A cross-party parliamentary group has advocated for centralized handling, but structural priorities favor security coordination with allies over broad transparency. This framework underpins trader consensus against new Japanese file releases in 2026, though a major security incident, allied agreement, or legislative mandate could still prompt limited disclosure before year-end.
规则
如果日本政府在市场创建至 2026年12月31日、23:59 ET 期间，解密任何此前未向公众公开、涉及外星生命和/或无法解释的空中现象的档案，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 就本市场而言，只有来自日本国家政府的信息才符合条件。来自个别都道府县或市町村的信息不足以判定本市场。 未能在本市场时间范围内实施的解密公告不予计入。 解密事项的主要判定来源为日本政府的官方信息；不过，也会采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。