- 以色列选举：Yashar 和 Together 联合参选？3¢
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Yashar and Together contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list. If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered. If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance have finalized separate candidate lists ahead of the September 8, 2026, deadline for the October 27 Knesset election, with Lapid publicly unveiling Yesh Atid placements on the Together slate in early September. Eisenkot has consistently prioritized heading an independent centrist list rather than accepting a subordinate role, and repeated polling shows merged slates would likely shed seats to defections or undecided voters compared with running alone. Earlier outreach between the factions produced no agreement, and both parties have expanded their own rosters with high-profile additions while maintaining distinct platforms focused on security, national service, and coalition-building conditions. With submission deadlines imminent and no last-minute joint statements reported, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a combined list. A surprise technical bloc or full merger before the cutoff remains the primary scenario that could still shift the outcome.