Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance contesting the October 27 Knesset election, in the 11-13 seat range, with outcomes varying across surveys due to competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party for overlapping centrist and anti-Netanyahu support. This fragmentation keeps the broader Zionist opposition bloc near or below 60 seats in most surveys while the Netanyahu-aligned parties hover around 50, leaving both sides short of a majority. Trader consensus across the 8-16 seat bands reflects uncertainty over final turnout among swing voters, small parties hovering near the 3.25% threshold that could alter surplus allocations, and any security developments before election day. Late alliances or shifts in voter mobilization could still separate the leading seat bands.
预计以色列将于2026年10月27日举行立法选举。 本市场将根据 Together 在此次选举中于以色列议会赢得的席位数进行结算。 如果 Together 作为与一个或多个政党组成的联合候选人名单的一部分参加此次选举,则该联合候选人名单赢得的所有席位都将计入。如果 Together 在选举前与另一个政党合并,则合并后政党赢得的所有席位,或其参加选举时所通过的任何联合候选人名单赢得的所有席位,都将计入。 如果截至 2027年10月31日 23:59 ET 仍无法确定这次选举的结果,此市场将按最低区间结算。 本市场的结算将完全依据 Together 在此次选举中赢得的席位数。 本市场将根据选举结果进行结算,具体以可信新闻报道形成的共识为准。如果存在歧义,本市场将仅依据以色列中央选举委员会(Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit)公布的官方结果进行结算(https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page)。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。