- 以色列和印度尼西亚会在2026年12月31日前实现关系正常化吗？2¢2%
Indonesia maintains no formal diplomatic relations with Israel, conditioning any normalization on prior Israeli recognition of a sovereign Palestinian state with 1967 borders and East Jerusalem as capital. President Prabowo Subianto has signaled conditional openness, stating at the September 2025 UN General Assembly that Indonesia would recognize Israel immediately upon such acknowledgment while guaranteeing Israeli security, and he offered troops for a potential Gaza stabilization force after the 2025 ceasefire. However, recent bilateral talks with Egypt in October 2026 reaffirmed condemnation of Israeli settlements and commitment to the two-state solution, with officials explicitly ruling out Abraham Accords-style normalization absent Palestinian statehood. Domestic Islamic groups continue pressuring against perceived ties, and leaked reports of a Prabowo visit to Israel in late 2025 were denied. Trader sentiment reflects these structural barriers alongside limited diplomatic openings tied to Gaza progress or external incentives.
规则
如果 Israel 和 Indonesia 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式宣布建立外交关系，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 本市场的主要判定依据为 Israel 和 Indonesia 的官方信息，但也可采用可信报道的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。