- Hakeem Jeffries会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？10¢10%
- Katherine Clark会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？12¢12%
- Jim Jordan会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？54¢54%
- Steve Scalise会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？35¢35%
- Mike Johnson会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？7¢7%
- Tom Emmer会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？11¢11%
- Lisa McClain会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？23¢23%
- Kevin Hern会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？16¢16%
- Blake Moore会成为2026年中期选举后的首位众议院少数党领袖吗？24¢24%
The 2026 midterm elections stand as the central factor keeping probabilities tightly clustered around even odds for multiple potential House Minority Leader candidates, since the chamber's partisan balance will dictate which conference selects its leadership. Traders are assessing internal party positioning, recent endorsements, and caucus dynamics ahead of the vote, with outcomes such as Jim Jordan at 42 percent reflecting perceived frontrunner status amid uncertainty over final seat totals. Historical precedent for post-election leadership contests shows that slim majorities or unexpected flips can trigger rapid realignments through floor votes or withdrawals. Scheduled election-night results and subsequent party meetings in the coming weeks represent the key catalysts that could separate contenders by clarifying which side enters the minority.
规则
本市场将根据首位当选第120届美国国会众议院少数党领袖的人士进行结算；该届国会计划在2026年美国中期选举后于2027年1月召开。 主要结算来源将是美国众议院的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。