- Adama Barrow会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？68¢
- Ousainou Darboe会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？19¢
- Bakary K. Badjie会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？4¢
- Essa Faal会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？3¢
- Mohamed Al Amin Bah会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？<1¢
- Talib Ahmed Bensouda会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？<1¢
- Mama Kandeh会赢得2026年冈比亚总统选举吗？<1¢
Adama Barrow holds a strong lead in the Gambia presidential election market due to his position as incumbent since 2017 and ongoing campaign emphasis on infrastructure gains, job creation, expanded electricity access, and education improvements over the past decade. The December 5, 2026 vote features a fragmented opposition, with Ousainou Darboe of the UDP as the main challenger alongside figures such as Talib Ahmed Bensouda, Mama Kandeh, Bakary K. Badjie, Essa Faal, and Mohamed Al Amin Bah. Recent weeks have seen Barrow's nationwide Meet the People tour highlighting continuity, while opposition groups pursue unity talks that remain unresolved ahead of November nominations. This setup contributes to trader consensus favoring the sitting president, though late coalition shifts or voter registration disputes could still influence final probabilities before polling.
规则
冈比亚总统选举目前定于 2026年12月5日 举行。 本市场将根据在 2026 年冈比亚总统选举中获胜的所列候选人进行结算。任何临时或代理总统均不符合资格。 如果截至2027年12月31日 23:59 ET结果仍未得到明确确认，本市场将结算为“其他”。 本市场将根据此次选举的结果进行结算，结果以可信报道形成的共识为准。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据冈比亚独立选举委员会公布的官方结果进行结算（https://www.iec.gm/）。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。