- 欧盟/北约国家会在 12月31日 前宣布向乌克兰派遣维和部队吗？4¢4%
European allies including the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Poland continue planning for potential post-ceasefire security arrangements in Ukraine through the Coalition of the Willing. In mid-October 2026, UK Defense Secretary Wes Streeting announced November exercises in Poland involving at least 1,500 troops to rehearse cross-border logistics, troop movements, and sustainment for a multinational force that could deter renewed Russian aggression after hostilities end. These drills build on agreements from the July Paris summit and earlier declarations of intent signed by UK, French, and Ukrainian leaders. No EU or NATO member has formally announced deployment of peacekeepers inside Ukraine, and Russia has repeatedly opposed any such presence. Upcoming November maneuvers and any diplomatic progress toward a ceasefire represent the nearest scheduled catalysts that could influence timing or announcements.
规则
如果任何北约或欧盟成员国在 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 前正式宣布将作为维和部队的一部分向乌克兰派兵，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场结算为“否”。 符合条件的公告必须是北约或欧盟成员国与另一国家或国际组织之间正式协议的一部分，或以其他方式表明已形成正式政策。 意向声明、附带条件的公告，或以其他方式未表明已形成正式政策的公告，均不予计入。 本市场的主要判定来源将是北约、欧盟或任一组织成员国的官方信息；不过，也会参考可信报道所形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。