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Recent developments center on efforts by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s allies to schedule Turkey’s next presidential and parliamentary elections for March or April 2028, rather than the scheduled May date. Presidential adviser Mehmet Ucum and MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli have publicly backed a parliamentary decision under Article 116 of the constitution to trigger an early vote during Erdoğan’s current term. This would require 360 votes in the 600-seat assembly—exceeding the roughly 326 seats held by the AKP-MHP alliance—and would permit Erdoğan to seek another term despite the two-term limit. The move aligns with statements framing 2028 as his final candidacy. Opposition parties face ongoing legal and institutional pressures that could influence parliamentary arithmetic, while cabinet changes and constitutional reform discussions continue to shape succession dynamics ahead of any 2028 vote.
规则
如果 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 在市场创建日至指定日期（ET）之间的任何一段时间内不再担任土耳其共和国总统，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在本市场结束日期之前宣布 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 辞职/被免职，无论宣布的辞职/免职何时生效，本市场都将立即结算为“是”。 如果指定个人被拘留、实际上被免去指定职务，或在本市场的时间范围内以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定职务的职责，则符合结算为“是”的条件。 本市场的结算来源将是 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 和土耳其政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。