- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布190-214条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布215到239条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布240条以上的推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布165到189条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间会发少于40条推文吗？14¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布40-64条推文吗？38¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布65到89条推文吗？33¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布90到114条推文吗？10¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布115-139条推文吗？3¢
- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年8月27日至8月29日期间发布140至164条推文吗？1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most likely outcomes for Elon Musk’s tweets over the August 27-29 window because recent three-day stretches have produced totals in the low-to-mid 30s daily average, with quieter periods pulling counts below his longer-term weekday pace of roughly 30-35 posts. Weekend timing in the period adds further downward pressure, as historical weekend daily figures hover closer to 26. With no major product launches, regulatory hearings, or X-related announcements confirmed for those dates, the market reflects steady but unspectacular activity levels rather than a burst. Key swing factors remain any sudden engagement spikes on ongoing topics like Grok updates or SpaceX milestones that could push volume higher before the window closes.