- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发推文少于40条吗？3¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布40到64条推文吗？35¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布65到89条推文吗？43¢
- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布90-114条推文吗？16¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布115到139条推文吗？5¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布140到164条推文吗？1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布165-189条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布190-214条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布215-239条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月24日至8月26日期间发布240条以上推文吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s typical weekend slowdown in X activity, with daily volumes often falling to 20–30 posts amid routine commentary on AI tools like Grok Voice, Starlink operations, and demographic concerns such as fertility trends, forms the core driver behind current trader consensus. Recent August tracking shows overall daily averages of 23–50 posts, with mid-week spikes giving way to lighter output that positions the 65–89 bracket as the leading market-implied outcome at 42.5%. The tight contest with the 40–64 range at 34.5% reflects uncertainty over how sharply the weekend lull will suppress totals, while any sudden platform updates or launch announcements could shift momentum higher. Historical three-day windows and consistent engagement patterns underscore this balanced positioning ahead of the period’s close.