- Ekrem İmamoğlu 会在 2026 年获释吗？5¢5%
Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since March 2025 on corruption charges in the sprawling Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality case, where prosecutors allege he led a criminal organization involving bribery, bid-rigging, and related offenses. The trial, involving 436 defendants, reached its 101st hearing on October 17, 2026, when the court ordered the release of seven co-defendants but explicitly continued İmamoğlu’s detention alongside 46 others, adjourning proceedings to November 2. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official imposed a two-year-one-month sentence and political ban, now under appeal. With the main case still in its evidentiary and defense phase and no verdict expected imminently, traders assess the likelihood of release before the end of 2026 as low.
规则
如果 Ekrem İmamoğlu 在市场创建后至 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 之间获释，该市场将以“是”结算。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 如果 Ekrem İmamoğlu 获释但仍被软禁，该市场仍将以“是”结算。 如果 Ekrem İmamoğlu 获准假释、保释，或在任何其他会使他离开国家羁押的条件下获释，该市场将以“是”结算。 将 Ekrem İmamoğlu 转移到其他羁押地点（例如惩教系统内的另一所监狱、法院或医院），不足以使该市场以“是”结算。 为在法院或国会作证等目的而暂时离开监狱，只要仍由矫正机关羁押，就不算获释。 本市场的主要判定依据将是政府部门或矫正部门发布的官方信息；不过，也可以依据可信新闻报道形成的共识进行判定。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。