- Claudia Sheinbaum 会在 12月31日 前不再担任墨西哥总统吗？9¢
如果 Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo 在 2026年6月30日 23:59 ET 前宣布辞去墨西哥总统职务，或因其他原因在任何一段时间内不再担任墨西哥总统，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 如果在本市场结束日期前宣布 Claudia Sheinbaum 辞职或被免职，本市场将立即判定为“是”，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 本市场的主要判定依据为 Claudia Sheinbaum 或墨西哥政府提供的信息，但也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
Claudia Sheinbaum began her six-year term as Mexico’s president on October 1, 2024, and faces a fixed constitutional schedule ending September 30, 2030, with no immediate re-election or removal mechanisms short of impeachment or resignation. Recent polling shows sustained approval near 70 percent two years into her administration, driven by reported declines in homicides, expansion of social programs, and infrastructure initiatives. The ruling Morena party maintains congressional majorities, supporting legislative priorities such as digital content regulations and electricity generation targets. No major scandals or opposition movements have emerged in recent months that would elevate early-exit probabilities. Midterm legislative elections in 2027 represent the next scheduled political test, while ongoing U.S. trade negotiations and security cooperation remain key external variables that could influence domestic stability.
规则
如果 Claudia Sheinbaum 在市场创建日至指定日期（ET）之间的任何一段时间不再担任墨西哥总统，则该市场将以“是”结算。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在该市场结束日期之前宣布 Claudia Sheinbaum 辞职或被免职，该市场将立即以"是"结算，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 该市场的结算依据将是 Claudia Sheinbaum 和墨西哥政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。