- Tsai Yi-yu会赢得下一届嘉义县县长选举吗？95¢95%
- Wu Pin-jui会赢得下一届嘉义县县长选举吗？6¢6%
- Tsai Sung-yi会赢得下一届嘉义县县长选举吗？<1¢<1%
Tsai Yi-yu maintains a commanding 95 percent implied probability in the Chiayi County Magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee heading into the November 28 vote, supported by unified party machinery, endorsements from central figures, and a track record of securing infrastructure funding. Recent campaign activity centers on healthcare access, intergenerational welfare networks, and agricultural development in rural townships, areas where the incumbent legislator has emphasized systematic policy delivery over piecemeal measures. Wu Pin-jui, running as an independent with opposition coalition backing and focusing on elderly health-insurance subsidies, trails at 6 percent amid limited momentum in local polling and resource gaps. The narrow field and proximity to election day reinforce trader consensus around structural advantages for the DPP candidate, though late shifts in turnout among key rural or elderly blocs, or unforeseen campaign events, remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before ballots close.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 本市场将根据此次选举结果，确定哪位候选人将成为下一任嘉义县长。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理县长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。