- Wang Mei-hui会赢得下一届嘉义市长选举吗？78¢78%
- Chang Chi-kai会赢得下一届嘉义市长选举吗？22¢22%
- Chen Chia-ping会赢得下一届嘉义市长选举吗？3¢3%
- Weng Shou-liang会赢得下一届嘉义市长选举吗？2¢2%
- Huang Hung-cheng会赢得下一届嘉义市长选举吗？<1¢<1%
- Chen Kai-huang会赢得下一届嘉义市长选举吗？<1¢<1%
Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City, holds the clear lead in trader pricing ahead of the November 28 local election, reflecting the party's structural advantages in a traditionally green-leaning constituency and her established local profile. The opposition's unified backing of Taiwan People's Party candidate Chang Chi-kai after a joint KMT-TPP primary has consolidated support but has not closed the gap, as earlier polling showed Wang ahead by several points and outgoing KMT mayor Huang Min-hui's high approval has not fully transferred. Recent campaign developments, including Chang's public efforts to arrange debates and Wang's camp's consistent refusal, have reinforced perceptions of a stable frontrunner position without shifting the implied probabilities. Minor candidates and independents remain negligible in the pricing, consistent with historical patterns in this race.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 本市场将根据在此次选举中当选嘉义市下一任市长的候选人来结算。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理市长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。