- Mike Thompson会赢得CA-04众议院席位吗？66¢66%
- Eric Jones会赢得CA-04众议院席位吗？32¢32%
Incumbent Mike Thompson holds a clear edge in the CA-04 general election due to his long congressional tenure, strong performance in the June top-two primary, and endorsements from Democratic leadership and labor groups. The district’s solid Democratic lean favors the veteran representative seeking a 15th term, even as challenger Eric Jones, a former venture capitalist, has self-funded record sums exceeding $18 million and secured some cross-party support. Recent debates highlighted differences on affordability, health care, and data centers, yet Jones trails significantly in early vote shares. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Thompson alongside Jones’s financial push, with the November 3 contest remaining the key resolution trigger.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026 年中期选举中赢得美国众议院 CA-04 国会选区席位的人士来结算。中期选举将于 2026年11月4日 举行。 本市场将根据可信报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如存在歧义，本市场将仅依据美国政府公布的官方结果进行判定，具体以Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/)公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。