英格兰银行12月份的决定?
利率英格兰经济英格兰银行宏观指标英国央行全球利率
开始时间
2026-10-15
结束时间
2026-12-17
24小时成交量
$5K
总成交量
$5K
  • 英格兰银行在2026年12月会议后下调利率50个基点以上?4¢
  • 英格兰银行在2026年12月会议后下调利率25个基点?4¢
  • 2026年12月会议后,英格兰银行利率不变?59¢
  • 英格兰银行在2026年12月会议后加息25个基点?32¢
  • 英格兰银行在2026年12月会议后加息50个基点以上吗?6¢

Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices and pushed UK inflation higher than the Bank of England's 2% target, with August CPI at 3.1% and forecasts exceeding 4% in early 2027. This has shifted trader consensus toward a 25 basis point hike to 4% at the November meeting, reflected in Reuters economist polls from mid-October, while market-implied odds favor holding Bank Rate steady in December at 57.5% probability. Persistent upside inflation risks from second-round effects contrast with the MPC's 6-3 September hold vote and Chief Economist Huw Pill's caution against aggressive tightening. Labor market data and the December 17 decision will serve as key near-term catalysts influencing the rate path versus official guidance.

规则

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

英格兰银行12月份的决定?

相关市场