- Ilija Srdanović 会成为塞尔维亚总理，而 Iliana Iotova 会在保加利亚胜出吗？13¢13%
- Aleksandar Vučić 会成为塞尔维亚总理，而 Iliana Iotova 会在保加利亚获胜吗？2¢2%
The closely matched probabilities in this Serbia-Bulgaria combo market reflect parallel uncertainties in both contests and the specific pairing of outcomes. Bulgaria’s November 1 presidential runoff pits incumbent Iliana Iotova, backed by the Progressive Bulgaria party and emphasizing diplomatic engagement, against Andrey Gyurov, supported by pro-Western reformist groups and favoring stronger alignment with Ukraine. Low first-round turnout and a narrow initial margin have kept the Bulgarian result fluid. In Serbia, the October 25 parliamentary vote delivered a strong performance for the Student List, shifting momentum away from Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list and raising prospects for a new prime minister such as Ilija Srdanović. Traders price the Srdanović-Iotova pairing highest among listed combos because it aligns the likeliest Serbian leadership change with the Bulgarian frontrunner, yet dispersed volume across many outcomes and lingering vote-count variables in both countries sustain the tight distribution.
规则
塞尔维亚议会选举定于 2026年10月25日 举行。保加利亚总统选举第一轮定于 2026年10月25日 举行。 本市场将按唯一符合以下两项条件的列出结果结算：因选举而宣誓就任的首位塞尔维亚总理，以及保加利亚总统选举的获胜者。 塞尔维亚总理的完整规则请点击此处：https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 保加利亚总统选举的完整规则请点击此处：https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election 在市场创建至结算期间，本市场可能会新增其他选项。 如任何组成市场结算为“其他”，本市场将结算为“其他”。 本市场将根据上方链接的两个市场中列出的来源进行结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。