Anthropic’s pending IPO, with an S-1 filing in late October 2026 and a Nasdaq roadshow underway targeting up to $1.4 trillion valuation, drives the 95.6% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. The company has secured massive independent funding, including a $65 billion round at $965 billion valuation in May 2026, alongside surging revenue exceeding $17 billion in Q3 and strategic compute partnerships with Google, Nvidia, and Broadcom. Founder-controlled governance via a 50.1% voting bloc further supports its standalone path. While regulatory delays to the listing or an unforeseen bid could theoretically intervene in the narrow remaining window, trader consensus views these as low-probability given the advanced IPO momentum and demonstrated scale in large language model development.
如果可信报道证实任何实体在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前与 Anthropic 达成收购协议,此市场将判定为“是”。否则,此市场将判定为“否”。 若合并后 Anthropic 被纳入另一实体,该合并将计入“是”的判定。 Anthropic 与收购方实体之间已宣布的协议,将符合“是”的判定条件,无论收购最终是否完成。 此市场判定的主要依据是 Anthropic 和/或其领导层的官方信息,但也会参考可信报道所形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。