- Alexandre de Moraes 会卸任巴西最高法院法官吗？25¢
Right-wing gains in Brazil’s October 2026 legislative elections have strengthened calls for Alexandre de Moraes’ removal from the Supreme Federal Court, with Bolsonaro allies nearing the 54 Senate votes needed for impeachment over his role in convictions tied to the former president and recent probes. Multiple impeachment petitions have accumulated, fueled by a Banco Master banking scandal implicating court communications and internal STF disputes that prompted Chief Justice Edson Fachin to reassign inquiries. No justice has ever been removed by the Senate, however, and advancement depends on the chamber president’s discretion amid constitutional tenure protections and potential negotiations involving moderate lawmakers. These procedural and institutional hurdles, combined with the new Senate convening only in 2027, sustain trader consensus that Moraes will remain in office through the resolution window.
规则
如果 Alexandre de Moraes 在市场创建至 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 之间的任何一段时间不再担任巴西联邦最高法院大法官，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在本市场结束日期之前宣布 Alexandre de Moraes 辞职或被免职，无论所宣布的辞职或免职何时生效，本市场都将立即判定为“是”。 本市场的判定依据将是 Alexandre de Moraes 和巴西政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。