阿拉斯加州参议院选举胜利幅度(第一轮)
政治选举胜选差距中期选举爱荷华州中期选举参议院选举中期选举胜选差距
开始时间
2026-09-17
结束时间
2026-11-03
24小时成交量
$4K
总成交量
$11K
  • Dan S. Sullivan会在2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮中以至少12%的优势获胜吗?5¢
  • 丹·S·苏利文会以9%-12%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议员第一轮选举吗?3¢
  • Dan S. Sullivan 会以 6%-9% 的优势赢得 2026 年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮选举吗?6¢
  • Dan S. Sullivan会以3%-6%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮选举吗?8¢
  • Dan S. Sullivan会以0%-3%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮选举吗?17¢
  • 玛丽·佩尔托拉会以0%-3%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮投票吗?44¢
  • 玛丽·佩尔托拉会以3%-6%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院首轮选举吗?33¢
  • 玛丽·佩尔托拉会以6%-9%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮选举吗?5¢
  • 玛丽·佩尔托拉会以9%-12%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮选举吗?3¢
  • 玛丽·佩尔托拉会以至少12%的优势赢得2026年阿拉斯加参议院第一轮选举吗?3¢

The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Alaska senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

阿拉斯加州参议院选举胜利幅度(第一轮)

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