- 2028年民主党总统候选人会未满45岁吗？36¢36%
- 2028年民主党总统候选人的年龄会是 45-54 岁吗？25¢25%
- 2028年民主党总统提名人会是55至64岁吗？45¢45%
- 2028年民主党总统候选人的年龄会是65至74岁吗？18¢18%
- 2028年民主党总统候选人的年龄会是75-84岁吗？5¢5%
- 2028年民主党总统候选人的年龄会是：85或以上吗？7¢7%
Traders price the 2028 Democratic nominee in the 45-54 range as the clear favorite, followed closely by under 45, because prominent younger contenders such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (age 39 on Election Day), Jon Ossoff (41), and Pete Buttigieg (46) are actively positioning themselves while the party seeks generational turnover after 2024. Recent midterms activity by these figures, alongside governors like Andy Beshear (50) and Wes Moore (around 50), has reinforced expectations of a fresher face over older options like Kamala Harris (64) or Gavin Newsom (61), who remain prominent but face questions about timing and base appetite for change. Early national polling shows Harris leading on name recognition, yet reporting highlights rising interest in less-established younger senators and representatives as the field takes shape ahead of 2027 announcements. This consensus aligns with broader calls for new leadership following consecutive older nominees.
规则
本市场将根据正式赢得并接受民主党2028年美国总统提名者的年龄进行结算。 该人士的年龄将按其接受提名当天计算。自某人生日当天开始时起，即视为其已增长一岁。 如果截至 2028年11月7日 尚无人赢得并接受该提名，本市场将按所列的最低年龄区间结算。 在选举日前更换提名人选，不会改变本市场的结算结果。 本市场的结算依据将是民主党官方来源和官方公开记录所形成的共识；不过，可信来源的共识也可能足以作为依据。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。