- Édouard Philippe会出现在2027年法国总统选举的选票上，但Gabriel Attal不会吗？65¢65%
- Gabriel Attal会出现在2027年法国总统选举的选票上，而Édouard Philippe不会吗？15¢15%
- Gabriel Attal 和 Édouard Philippe 都不会出现在 2027 年法国总统选举的选票上吗？9¢9%
- Gabriel Attal 和 Édouard Philippe 是否都会出现在 2027 年法国总统选举的选票上？7¢7%
Édouard Philippe holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the 2027 French presidential contest against Gabriel Attal, driven by consistent polling advantages within the fragmented centrist bloc. Recent surveys, including OpinionWay and Odoxa fieldwork in October 2026, show Philippe drawing 12-17% as the sole or leading centrist candidate, often positioning him to contest a runoff against Marine Le Pen, while Attal trails at 5-11% and struggles to consolidate Renaissance and Macron-aligned support. Persistent infighting between the two former prime ministers, including competing policy announcements and differing views on a broad rassemblement mechanism, has amplified voter fatigue with the Macron era and boosted extremes on both flanks. Philippe’s stronger image ratings and experience as mayor of Le Havre and earlier prime minister underpin his edge, though the first-round vote on April 18, 2027, remains distant and subject to shifts from ongoing budget debates and economic pressures.
规则
目前预计，下一次法国总统选举将于2027年4月举行。预计法国宪法委员会将在选举前公布正式候选人名单，列出可列入本次选举第一轮选票的候选人。 本市场将根据 Gabriel Attal 和 Édouard Philippe 中谁列入 2027 年法国总统选举第一轮的官方候选人名单来结算。如果 Gabriel Attal 列入名单，而 Édouard Philippe 未列入，本市场将结算为“Gabriel Attal”。如果 Édouard Philippe 列入名单，而 Gabriel Attal 未列入，本市场将结算为“Édouard Philippe”。如果两人都列入名单，则本市场将结算为“两者皆是”。如果两人都未列入名单，则本市场将结算为“都不是”。 如果选举前未公布此类候选人名单，本市场将根据选举举行时实际出现在选票上的候选人作出判定。如果没有公布名单，且指定选举未在 2027年6月30日, 23:59 ET 前举行，则本市场将结算为“都不是”。 本市场判定的主要依据将是法国宪法委员会公布的正式候选人名单；不过，也可采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。