- 澤連斯基是否會在2026年底前卸任烏克蘭總統？7¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections under martial law, which parliament has extended through October 31, 2026, sustaining Volodymyr Zelenskyy's incumbency despite his original term ending in 2024. Recent mid-August 2026 calls by former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov for a wartime vote prompted Zelenskyy to reject the idea outright, citing risks of national division and security failures amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Cross-party agreement and expert assessments emphasize that any vote would require martial law amendments, months of preparation, and security guarantees, making a leadership change before year-end highly improbable. Trader consensus at 93.5% against removal by December 31 reflects these structural barriers, with shifts possible only via unexpected ceasefire, legislative overhaul, or resignation.