- 2026年威斯康辛州州長中期選舉的總投票數是否會達到3,200,000或以上？1¢
- 2026年威斯康星州州長中期選舉的總投票數會少於2,200,000嗎？1¢
- 2026年威斯康辛州州長中期選舉的總投票數會介於2,600,000到2,800,000之間嗎？44¢
- 2026年威斯康辛州州長中期選舉的總投票數會在2,200,000到2,400,000之間嗎？3¢
- 2026 年威斯康星州州長中期選舉的總投票數是否會在 3,000,000 至 3,200,000 之間？6¢
- 2026年威斯康辛州州長中期選舉的總投票數是否會介於2,800,000到3,000,000之間？34¢
- 2026 年威斯康星州州長中期選舉的總投票數是否會在 2,400,000 到 2,600,000 之間？17¢
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wisconsin’s open 2026 gubernatorial contest between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany remains a toss-up, with recent polls showing margins under 4 points and analysts rating it competitive. This dynamic, combined with the state’s strong historical turnout patterns in close races and high engagement from both parties’ bases, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly across the 2.6M–3M ranges. Primary turnout reached 27.2% of voting-age population, slightly above prior cycles, while lingering effects from Democratic candidate shifts and independent voter mobilization efforts add uncertainty. No major late-breaking catalysts have yet shifted expectations ahead of November 3.