- 川普會將選舉收歸國有嗎？6¢6%
Constitutional authority over election administration rests with the states and Congress rather than the executive branch, a structural limit repeatedly affirmed by federal courts that have blocked Trump administration executive orders and DOJ actions seeking broader federal control. Recent judicial decisions have halted efforts to mandate proof-of-citizenship requirements, alter mail voting rules, and compel states to purge voter rolls or segregate ballots based on federal lists. The Attorney General has publicly stated there are no plans to assume control of state elections, while legislative priorities such as the SAVE Act have stalled in the Senate. Ongoing DOJ lawsuits targeting specific certifications or voter data have encountered swift legal challenges and appeals court rebuffs ahead of the midterms, reinforcing trader expectations that full nationalization remains outside executive reach.
規則
如果唐納·川普在 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 前簽署任何聯邦立法使其成為法律，或採取任何行政行動，創設聯邦政府對先前由地方管理的聯邦選舉行政事務行使直接行政控制的新法律權限，則此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 符合條件的立法或行動必須旨在授予聯邦政府持續控制權，涵蓋在一個以上州的管轄區內，先前由州或地方層級負責的聯邦選舉計票、選舉結果認證，或選舉日實際投票。對地方選舉主管機關提供的臨時聯邦支援，或履行先前已獲承認的聯邦選舉職責，均不計入。 主要判定依據將是美國聯邦政府的官方資訊，以及可信報導所形成的共識。
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