- Trump 會在 2026 年支持 María Corina Machado 競選 Venezuela 總統嗎？5¢
Trump’s measured praise for María Corina Machado without direct endorsement, combined with U.S. engagement with interim President Delcy Rodríguez, underpins the 94% “No” odds. In early October 2026, Trump described Machado as “an excellent woman” and referenced her Nobel gesture but declined to back her return to Venezuela or any leadership role when pressed at the White House. The administration has prioritized a three-phase transition focused on regional security and energy deals with Rodríguez following Maduro’s January 2026 ouster, including a September meeting and major oil arrangements. Machado, sidelined from U.S.-backed talks, has publicly noted timeline differences and endorsed a Trump critic in U.S. midterms, while polls show her leading Venezuelan preferences ahead of potential 2027 elections. These developments signal a pragmatic U.S. approach favoring stability over explicit backing of Machado for the presidency.
規則
如果 Donald Trump 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前公開支持或提議由 María Corina Machado 擔任委內瑞拉國家領導人或總統，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 如果 Donald Trump 宣布他會更傾向由其他人擔任，或支持其他人，本市場將立即判定為「否」。 本市場的判定依據將是 Donald Trump 或其代表之一發布的官方資訊，或可信報導對 Trump 背書一事所形成的共識。
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