北韓與南韓會在……之前進行直接會談嗎?
政治韓國北韓地緣政治外交政策世界
開始時間
2025-11-05
結束時間
2027-01-01
24小時成交量
$2K
總成交量
$123K
  • 北韓和南韓會在12月31日之前進行直接會談嗎?8¢

South Korea’s government under President Lee Jae Myung has prioritized restoring inter-Korean communication channels since taking office in mid-2025, including halting loudspeaker broadcasts and propaganda balloons while urging dialogue on peace and joint prosperity. Prime Minister Han Seong-sook reiterated these efforts on October 18, 2026. However, North Korea continues to reject direct engagement, labeling the Koreas as hostile states and issuing threats over border fortifications, landmines, and warning shots along the DMZ. Recent statements from Kim Yo Jong have heightened tensions, while Seoul coordinates with Washington and Beijing—evident in Lee’s earlier summit with Xi Jinping and outreach to Trump—to explore pathways that could indirectly support bilateral talks. Speculation around a possible Trump-Kim meeting near the November APEC summit represents a key near-term variable that could shift momentum toward or away from inter-Korean dialogue.

規則

如果北韓與南韓在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前直接會談,本市場將判定為「是」。直接會談是指雙方政府代表之間的正式會議或溝通,且過程中沒有第三方代為傳遞訊息。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 會談可以面對面、透過電話或以視訊方式進行,並且必須由任一方政府公開承認,或由可信媒體報導。 例行的軍事避免衝突措施、透過非正式管道進行的交流,或完全透過其他國家或組織進行的會談,均不計入。 判定結果的依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。

機器翻譯。如有爭議,以原文為準。

北韓與南韓會在……之前進行直接會談嗎?

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