- 以色列會在12月31日之前吞併任何領土嗎？4¢
- 以色列會在3月31日之前吞併任何領土嗎？48¢
- 以色列會在6月30日之前吞併任何領土嗎？47¢
Israeli cabinet decisions since February 2026 have accelerated land registration in West Bank Area C, eased Israeli purchases of settlement land, expanded enforcement powers, and transferred authority over certain holy sites, measures widely described as de facto consolidation of control. These steps build on existing settlement expansion and new construction tenders issued in October 2026, yet stop short of any official declaration or Knesset legislation claiming sovereignty over additional territory. Coalition pressure from far-right ministers favoring formal annexation remains balanced against constraints from the prime minister’s office and U.S. opposition to explicit sovereignty claims. Traders assess the distinction between administrative actions and a qualifying legal act of annexation as the central variable, with upcoming legislative sessions and potential elections likely to test whether momentum shifts toward a formal resolution.
規則
如果 Israel 在市場建立至 2027年3月31日 下午11:59 ET 期間正式吞併任何領土，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 併吞是指以色列政府透過正式聲明或法律行為，宣稱對某領土擁有主權，而該政府在此市場建立時尚未宣稱擁有該領土主權。 符合條件的併吞案例包括 1980 年《耶路撒冷法》和《戈蘭高地法》；然而，以色列定居者在沒有正式併吞的情況下宣稱對土地擁有行政控制權，則不予計入。 此市場的主要判定依據將是以色列政府的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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