The White House X account under the current administration maintains a high posting volume driven by real-time rapid-response content, event coverage, and promotional material. Pew Research analysis from mid-2026 showed the account posting more than twice as frequently as during the prior term, with affiliated accounts like Rapid Response 47 averaging nearly 40 posts daily. Recent activity on October 15 included multiple updates on presidential travel to Montana, science and innovation events, and administration priorities, consistent with patterns of several posts per hour during active periods. The week of October 16–23 follows the new Press Secretary’s inaugural briefing and ongoing travel, which typically generate additional official posts, quotes, and media amplification. Trader consensus at 72% for 200+ posts reflects this sustained output rate, while lower brackets receive minimal probability due to the established cadence of government and rapid-response accounts. No scheduled events in the immediate window indicate a sharp reduction in volume.
本市場將根據 White House (@WhiteHouse) 在 10月16日, 下午12:00 ET 至 2026年10月23日, 下午12:00 ET 期間於 X 發文的次數進行結算。 就本市場而言,僅計算主要動態中的貼文、引用貼文及轉發貼文。 回覆不會計入總數;不過,記錄在主動態消息中的回覆會由追蹤器計算。 已刪除的貼文只要保留時間足以被追蹤器擷取(約5分鐘),即會計入。 此市場的結算來源為 https://xtracker.polymarket.com 所列貼文的「Post Counter」數值。點擊「Export Data」即可查看個別貼文。若追蹤器未依規則正確更新,可使用 X 本身作為次要結算來源。
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