The Trump administration’s ongoing probe into Rep. Ilhan Omar’s naturalization, centered on whether her age or other details were misrepresented on 1995–2000 immigration paperwork to qualify for derivative citizenship through her late father, has intensified trader focus on the likelihood of a formal denaturalization filing. A court-authorized search of her Washington home on October 12, 2026, yielded her passport, devices, and records, while Homeland Security Investigations agents issued more than a dozen grand-jury subpoenas to relatives examining family documents. No complaint has been filed yet, and any Justice Department action would require proving material, willful fraud in federal court—subject to high evidentiary standards—with civil cases having no statute of limitations. Midterm elections, grand-jury developments, and potential new evidence from the seized materials remain the nearest catalysts that could accelerate or stall a filing before year-end resolution windows.
如果在市場建立日至指定日期之間的 下午11:59 ET,美國在任何美國聯邦法院對美國眾議員 Ilhan Omar 提起民事或刑事訴訟,且該訴訟旨在撤銷她經歸化取得的公民身分,或訴訟若勝訴——無論是透過判決、定罪或其他方式——將撤銷或要求撤銷她經歸化取得的公民身分,本市場將結算為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 以下事項單獨而言均不符合條件:即使勝訴也不會撤銷或要求撤銷她經歸化取得公民身分的民事或刑事訴訟;移送、調查、傳票、已執行的搜索令、大陪審團程序,或任何官員公開表示有意申請撤銷其經歸化取得的公民身分。 一旦符合條件的訴訟已提起,自願撤訴、撤回、駁回或任何其他提起訴訟後的進展,均不會影響結算。 主要結算來源將是相關美國法院的公開案卷(可透過 PACER 查閱)和/或美國司法部的官方公告;也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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