The high trader consensus on a "Yes" outcome stems primarily from official confirmation of a first-ever trilateral meeting among U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and Russian President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, scheduled for mid-November 2026. The White House has announced the gathering, with Beijing acknowledging ongoing communications, and the leaders are expected to appear together for discussions on nuclear non-proliferation and other topics. This event, occurring well before 2027, aligns directly with the market's resolution criteria. While the plans reflect sustained diplomatic engagement between the three powers, realistic factors that could still shift probabilities include last-minute cancellations due to health concerns, unresolved bilateral tensions, or procedural disputes over the meeting format.
若在此市場建立後至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 期間,拍攝到唐納·川普、弗拉迪米爾·普丁與習近平同框的照片或影片,則此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 此市場要判定為「是」,照片或影片必須在此市場的時間範圍內拍攝並發布。照片或影片必須是真實的,不能是人工智慧或影片剪輯的產物。 此市場的判定依據將是唐納·川普、弗拉迪米爾·普丁與習近平同框的照片或影片。
機器翻譯。如有爭議,以原文為準。